Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buckeyes @ Terrapins OSU @ MD

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

14-7  |  Road

82
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 8:30 PM ET
XFINITY Center
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND

TERRAPINSMD

8-13  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKEYES
0%
📊
TERRAPINS
100%
BUCKEYES --
TERRAPINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Ohio State)
BuckeyesOSU (-3.5) 0 TerrapinsMD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buckeyes Cover

75.8%

Terrapins Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OSU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

OSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

OSU By 8-14 points

25.3%

MD By 1-7 points

15.3%

MD By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
OHIO STATE
67
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
75
OHIO STATE
68
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 OSU @ MD 82 - 62
Feb 6, 2025 MD @ OSU 70 - 73
Dec 4, 2024 OSU @ MD 59 - 83
Feb 10, 2024 MD @ OSU 75 - 79
Mar 1, 2023 MD @ OSU 62 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.8% more
Ohio State: 1.9 vs Maryland: 1.3
Assists (L5) +26.0% more
Ohio State: 11.3 vs Maryland: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5) +13.5%
Ohio State: 79.6% vs Maryland: 66.1%
Rebounding (L5) +9.7% more
Ohio State: 32.4 vs Maryland: 29.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OSU Score 74.0 82
MD Score 67.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 33.3 31.0 / 47.0
Assists 8.4 / 11.3 11.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.3 / 1.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.2 / 46.5 46.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 79.6 53.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 29.3 / 32.4 28.0 / 27.0
Steals 4.4 / 4.8 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 9.3 16.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
MD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OSU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
MD
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
OSU
MD
OSU
ML
70% 23-10
53% 18-16
67% 22-11
73% 24-9
ATS
64% 21-12
59% 20-14
67% 22-11
73% 24-9
TTL
64% 21-12
56% 19-15
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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