UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
9-14 | Road
56
NJIT
HIGHLANDERSNJIT
11-12 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
RIVER HAWKS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NJIT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
UML By 1-7 points
12.2%
UML By 8-14 points
4.0%
NJIT By 1-7 points
24.3%
NJIT By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UMass Lowell
92
UMASS LOWELL
NJIT
101
NJIT
Simulated Score
UMass Lowell
72
UMASS LOWELL
NJIT
65
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UML @ NJIT
56 - 81
Jan 15, 2026
NJIT @ UML
73 - 64
Jan 30, 2025
UML @ NJIT
62 - 83
Jan 11, 2025
NJIT @ UML
62 - 70
Feb 10, 2024
UML @ NJIT
64 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.1% more
NJIT: 6.3
vs
UMass Lowell: 5.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
NJIT: 37.0%
vs
UMass Lowell: 29.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+33.4% more
UMass Lowell: 13.5
vs
NJIT: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
UMass Lowell: 40.7
vs
NJIT: 36.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UML Score
92.0
56
NJIT Score
101.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 29.5
26.0 / 16.0
Assists
11.3 / 10.7
20.0 / 3.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.9
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 46.7
49.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 75.9
62.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 40.7
41.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.4
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 13.5
5.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
UML
NJIT
UML
ML
78%
25-7
70%
23-10
62%
20-12
58%
19-14
ATS
72%
23-9
70%
23-10
62%
20-12
58%
19-14
TTL
47%
15-17
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
