Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Titans UCR @ CSUF

UC RIVERSIDE

HIGHLANDERSUCR

8-15  |  Road

72
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 10:00 PM ET
Titan Gym
View Odds Details →

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

10-13  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
📊
TITANS
100%
HIGHLANDERS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
UC RIVERSIDE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (UC Riverside)
HighlandersUCR (-3.5) 0 TitansCSUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

72.6%

Titans Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCR -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCR)

UCR By 1-7 points

26.8%

UCR By 8-14 points

24.3%

CSUF By 1-7 points

16.9%

CSUF By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
75
UC RIVERSIDE
69
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
68
UC RIVERSIDE
72
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Highlanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Highlanders (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 UCR @ CSUF 72 - 78
Jan 17, 2026 CSUF @ UCR 72 - 81
Mar 8, 2025 UCR @ CSUF 64 - 59
Dec 7, 2024 CSUF @ UCR 68 - 75
Mar 7, 2024 CSUF @ UCR 74 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.6% more
UC Riverside: 4.3 vs Cal State Fullerton: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +17.8% more
UC Riverside: 36.8 vs Cal State Fullerton: 30.3
Turnovers (L5) +11.8% more
UC Riverside: 14.9 vs Cal State Fullerton: 13.1
Steals (L5) +97.8% more
Cal State Fullerton: 9.8 vs UC Riverside: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCR Score 75.0 72
CSUF Score 69.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 31.4 33.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.7 / 13.0 9.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.3 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 43.0 42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 69.0 84.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 36.8 44.0 / 36.0
Steals 9.8 / 4.9 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 14.9 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCR
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
CSUF Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCR
14-14-2 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.3
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
UCR
CSUF
UCR
ML
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
75% 24-8
ATS
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
76% 26-8
75% 24-8
TTL
59% 20-14
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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