CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
35-15-6 | Road
2
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
22-28-6 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 1.01 | 0.976 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
1.01
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.976
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
RANGERS
0%
HURRICANES
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
1
CAROLINA
New York
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+27.7% more
New York: 28.1
vs
Carolina: 22.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.0%
New York: 57.3%
vs
Carolina: 50.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+37.3% more
Carolina: 5.6
vs
New York: 3.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.4% more
Carolina: 25.5
vs
New York: 22.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
1.0
2
NYR Score
2.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 11.4
21.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
57.3 / 50.3
41.3 / 58.7
Hits
28.1 / 22.0
27.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
3002.0 / 3070.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.1 / 25.5
16.0 / 43.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 5.6
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
CAR
NYR
CAR
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
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