Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Knights @ Raiders ARMY @ COLG

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

10-13  |  Road

55
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Cotterell Court
View Odds Details →

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

13-10  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Black KnightsARMY (-3.5) 0 RaidersCOLG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Knights Cover

18.4%

Raiders Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)

ARMY By 1-7 points

24.3%

ARMY By 8-14 points

26.8%

COLG By 1-7 points

12.2%

COLG By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
77
ARMY
68
COLGATE
Simulated Score
65
ARMY
72
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Black Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 ARMY @ COLG 55 - 69
Jan 3, 2026 COLG @ ARMY 76 - 69
Mar 6, 2025 ARMY @ COLG 55 - 84
Jan 29, 2025 COLG @ ARMY 72 - 84
Jan 2, 2025 ARMY @ COLG 59 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +22.4% more
Army: 16.4 vs Colgate: 12.7
Turnovers (L5) +10.8% more
Army: 12.6 vs Colgate: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +8.2% more
Army: 37.3 vs Colgate: 34.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Army: 35.4% vs Colgate: 33.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score 77.0 55
COLG Score 68.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 35.4 29.0 / 31.0
Assists 12.7 / 16.4 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.3 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 41.0 46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 59.3 74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 37.3 40.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.5 / 6.4 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 12.6 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
ARMY
COLG
ARMY
ML
59% 19-13
44% 14-18
69% 22-10
50% 16-16
ATS
72% 23-9
44% 14-18
70% 23-10
50% 16-16
TTL
78% 25-7
81% 26-6
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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