Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roadrunners @ Bulls UTSA @ USF

UTSA

ROADRUNNERSUTSA

4-17  |  Road

88
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Yuengling Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH FLORIDA

BULLSUSF

14-8  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
ROADRUNNERS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
ROADRUNNERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
SOUTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (South Florida)
RoadrunnersUTSA (-3.5) 0 BullsUSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roadrunners Cover

0.0%

Bulls Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USF -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USF)

UTSA By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTSA By 8-14 points

0.0%

USF By 1-7 points

0.0%

USF By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
64
UTSA
109
SOUTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
66
UTSA
74
SOUTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (-24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o164.5 Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 UTSA @ USF 88 - 109
Feb 19, 2025 USF @ UTSA 78 - 73
Feb 21, 2024 USF @ UTSA 66 - 61
Jan 27, 2024 UTSA @ USF 72 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +94.4% more
South Florida: 16.9 vs UTSA: 8.7
Steals (L5) +25.6% more
South Florida: 6.7 vs UTSA: 5.4
Rebounding (L5) +24.4% more
South Florida: 41.5 vs UTSA: 33.4
Turnovers (L5) +14.5% more
South Florida: 13.4 vs UTSA: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTSA Score 64.0 88
USF Score 109.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 24.3 35.0 / 57.0
Assists 16.9 / 8.7 25.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.0 / 6.0 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 39.8 55.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 77.2 70.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 33.4 39.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.7 / 5.4 8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 11.7 5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTSA
5-25-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
USF Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTSA
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
USF Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.2
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USF
UTSA
USF
UTSA
ML
61% 20-13
83% 24-5
52% 16-15
48% 14-15
ATS
61% 20-13
72% 21-8
52% 16-15
50% 15-15
TTL
52% 17-16
66% 19-10
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
si 1 week, 2 days ago
Norman Powell Unveils His Ultimate UCLA Starting Five
yahoo 3 weeks, 5 days ago
Chicago Bulls Rookie Gets Notable Message From NBA Analyst After…
yahoo 2 months, 3 weeks ago
For the WNBA, NIL has skyrocketed visibility, creating unprecede…
hastingstribune 3 months ago
Ex-Bulls HC Billy Donovan to Michigan noise continues to heat up…
sportingnews 3 months, 2 weeks ago