CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
30-21 | Road
124
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
23-26 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
CLE By 1-7 points
21.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
10.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
106
CLEVELAND
LA
109
LA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
102
CLEVELAND
LA
105
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CLE @ LAC
124 - 91
Nov 23, 2025
LAC @ CLE
105 - 120
Mar 30, 2025
LAC @ CLE
122 - 127
Mar 18, 2025
CLE @ LAC
119 - 132
Apr 7, 2024
CLE @ LAC
118 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
LA: 52.8%
vs
Cleveland: 51.0%
Steals (L5)
+51.5% more
Cleveland: 11.9
vs
LA: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+40.6% more
Cleveland: 4.8
vs
LA: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+25.6% more
Cleveland: 33.4
vs
LA: 24.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
106.0
124
LAC Score
109.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 39.9
21.0 / 39.0
Assists
24.9 / 33.4
20.0 / 30.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.8
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
52.8 / 51.0
46.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 74.9
92.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 42.9
37.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.8 / 11.9
6.0 / 17.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 15.7
24.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
CLE
LAC
CLE
ML
60%
59-40
60%
69-46
55%
45-37
56%
55-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
75-37-3
55%
45-37
56%
55-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0
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