VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
18-32-6 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
25-16-14 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 5.00 | 0.839 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
--
0.839
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
CANUCKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VAN By 1 goal
2.8%
VAN By 2-3 goals
1.2%
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
1
VANCOUVER
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Canucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
VGK @ VAN
3 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
VGK @ VAN
2 - 1
Mar 30, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 5
Apr 16, 2025
VGK @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+13.6% more
Vegas: 21.1
vs
Vancouver: 18.6
Power Play % (L5)
+10.3%
Vegas: 13.4%
vs
Vancouver: 3.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Vegas: 28.6
vs
Vancouver: 26.3
Takeaways (L5)
+39.2% more
Vancouver: 5.4
vs
Vegas: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
1.0
2
VGK Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.8 / 14.9
10.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 48.4
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
21.1 / 18.6
18.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
1335.0 / 307.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 26.3
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 5.4
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
VAN
VGK
VAN
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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