SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
27-23-4 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
36-9-9 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 3.04 | 0.927 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.920 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.04
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.927 Ldr
Save %
0.920
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
AVALANCHE
100%
SHARKS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
SJ By 1 goal
17.5%
SJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
COL By 1 goal
6.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Colorado
1
COLORADO
Simulated Score
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Colorado
1
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Sharks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
SJ @ COL
2 - 4
Nov 26, 2025
SJ @ COL
0 - 6
Nov 1, 2025
COL @ SJ
2 - 3
Mar 6, 2025
SJ @ COL
3 - 7
Dec 19, 2024
COL @ SJ
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+12.4%
San Jose: 13.2%
vs
Colorado: 0.8%
Hits (L5)
+10.0% more
San Jose: 23.4
vs
Colorado: 21.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.1%
Colorado: 49.8%
vs
San Jose: 46.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
2
COL Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.2 / 13.1
5.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 46.7
60.7 / 39.3
Hits
21.1 / 23.4
16.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
83.0 / 1318.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 26.1
42.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.9
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SJ
COL
SJ
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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