SOUTH DAKOTA
COYOTESSDAK
12-12 | Road
82
KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
4-19 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
0%
ROOS
100%
COYOTES
--
ROOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (South Dakota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SDAK -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)
SDAK By 1-7 points
1.1%
SDAK By 8-14 points
4.8%
KC By 1-7 points
0.1%
KC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
South Dakota
107
SOUTH DAKOTA
Kansas City
77
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
South Dakota
70
SOUTH DAKOTA
Kansas City
75
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Coyotes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roos
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Coyotes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Roos (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
SDAK @ KC
82 - 75
Jan 15, 2026
KC @ SDAK
83 - 99
Feb 13, 2025
KC @ SDAK
72 - 79
Jan 2, 2025
SDAK @ KC
54 - 68
Feb 22, 2024
KC @ SDAK
82 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
South Dakota: 79.4%
vs
Kansas City: 64.9%
Assists (L5)
+11.9% more
South Dakota: 13.1
vs
Kansas City: 11.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
South Dakota: 45.6%
vs
Kansas City: 38.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
South Dakota: 32.7%
vs
Kansas City: 26.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score
107.0
82
KC Score
77.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.2 / 32.7
33.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.5 / 13.1
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.4
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.5 / 45.6
50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
64.9 / 79.4
69.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 30.6
33.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.1
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.9
18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
SDAK
KC
SDAK
ML
63%
19-11
70%
21-9
67%
20-10
63%
19-11
ATS
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
67%
20-10
63%
19-11
TTL
70%
21-9
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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