Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Colonials WRST @ RMU

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

15-8  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 7:00 PM ET
UPMC Events Center
View Odds Details →

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

14-10  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
📊
COLONIALS
100%
RAIDERS --
COLONIALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Wright State)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 ColonialsRMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

57.9%

Colonials Cover

42.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

WRST By 1-7 points

26.8%

WRST By 8-14 points

18.6%

RMU By 1-7 points

23.0%

RMU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
WRIGHT STATE
76
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
70
WRIGHT STATE
78
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonials Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raiders (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Colonials (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 RMU @ WRST 81 - 68
Feb 4, 2026 WRST @ RMU 66 - 72
Mar 6, 2025 WRST @ RMU 62 - 83
Feb 2, 2025 RMU @ WRST 64 - 66
Jan 12, 2025 WRST @ RMU 72 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.3% more
Wright State: 4.2 vs Robert Morris: 2.2
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Wright State: 7.2 vs Robert Morris: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5) +14.7%
Wright State: 77.9% vs Robert Morris: 63.2%
Assists (L5) +56.7% more
Robert Morris: 18.5 vs Wright State: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 78.0 66
RMU Score 76.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.9 / 34.6 45.0 / 25.0
Assists 18.5 / 11.8 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.2 / 4.2 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 48.5 48.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 63.2 / 77.9 58.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 33.9 37.0 / 44.0
Steals 5.8 / 7.2 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 9.3 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
WRST
RMU
WRST
ML
36% 12-21
37% 13-22
56% 18-14
63% 22-13
ATS
55% 18-15
46% 16-19
56% 18-14
63% 22-13
TTL
55% 18-15
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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