COLORADO
BUFFALOESCOLO
13-9 | Road
67
BAYLOR
BEARSBAY
12-9 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
100%
BEARS
0%
BUFFALOES
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
BAYLOR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Baylor)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BAY -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAY)
COLO By 1-7 points
1.7%
COLO By 8-14 points
0.3%
BAY By 1-7 points
8.0%
BAY By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
66
COLORADO
Baylor
86
BAYLOR
Simulated Score
Colorado
71
COLORADO
Baylor
78
BAYLOR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
COLO @ BAY
67 - 86
Feb 22, 2025
BAY @ COLO
74 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+53.0% more
Baylor: 13.1
vs
Colorado: 8.5
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Baylor: 3.1
vs
Colorado: 2.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.1% more
Baylor: 36.2
vs
Colorado: 31.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
Baylor: 68.7%
vs
Colorado: 64.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLO Score
66.0
67
BAY Score
86.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 39.5
42.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.2 / 17.5
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.1
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 47.9
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 64.8
80.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 31.4
32.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.2
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 8.5
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
BAY
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
BAY
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
BAY
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAY
COLO
BAY
COLO
ML
58%
19-14
61%
20-13
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
ATS
58%
19-14
73%
24-9
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
TTL
45%
15-18
45%
15-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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