GEORGE WASHINGTON
REVOLUTIONARIESGW
13-9 | Road
73
SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
14-8 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
HAWKS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (George Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
GW By 1-7 points
0.1%
GW By 8-14 points
0.8%
JOES By 1-7 points
0.0%
JOES By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
George Washington
84
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Saint Joseph's
46
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
George Washington
70
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Saint Joseph's
75
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Revolutionaries
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Revolutionaries (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
GW @ JOES
73 - 76
Feb 19, 2025
JOES @ GW
79 - 68
Feb 21, 2024
GW @ JOES
75 - 79
Mar 8, 2023
JOES @ GW
87 - 76
Feb 11, 2023
GW @ JOES
69 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.1% more
George Washington: 6.8
vs
Saint Joseph's: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+69.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 6.2
vs
George Washington: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+25.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 17.8
vs
George Washington: 14.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Saint Joseph's: 38.9%
vs
George Washington: 33.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GW Score
84.0
73
JOES Score
46.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 33.7
35.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.8 / 14.1
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
6.2 / 3.6
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 42.6
49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 67.2
85.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 34.9
30.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.7 / 6.8
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 12.3
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
GW
JOES
GW
ML
51%
18-17
63%
22-13
61%
20-13
60%
21-14
ATS
60%
21-14
69%
24-11
61%
20-13
60%
21-14
TTL
54%
19-16
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
35-0
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