CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
12-10 | Road
68
GEORGETOWN
HOYASGTWN
12-10 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
100%
HOYAS
0%
BLUEJAYS
--
HOYAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Georgetown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)
CREI By 1-7 points
5.8%
CREI By 8-14 points
1.4%
GTWN By 1-7 points
16.9%
GTWN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Creighton
61
CREIGHTON
Georgetown
75
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
Creighton
64
CREIGHTON
Georgetown
77
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoyas
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoyas
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoyas (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Hoyas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CREI @ GTWN
68 - 76
Jan 13, 2026
GTWN @ CREI
83 - 86
Feb 23, 2025
GTWN @ CREI
69 - 80
Dec 18, 2024
CREI @ GTWN
57 - 81
Feb 13, 2024
GTWN @ CREI
72 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.1% more
Georgetown: 3.2
vs
Creighton: 2.1
Steals (L5)
+26.4% more
Georgetown: 5.1
vs
Creighton: 4.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.4%
Georgetown: 41.4%
vs
Creighton: 31.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Georgetown: 49.4%
vs
Creighton: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CREI Score
61.0
68
GTWN Score
75.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.4 / 31.0
38.0 / 24.0
Assists
15.1 / 14.4
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 44.4
35.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 74.6
73.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 29.6
46.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.1 / 4.1
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.5
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
GTWN
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
GTWN
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
CREI
GTWN
CREI
ML
67%
22-11
52%
17-16
73%
22-8
70%
21-9
ATS
58%
19-14
58%
19-14
73%
22-8
70%
21-9
TTL
58%
19-14
52%
17-16
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
