AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
KEYDETS
0%
TERRIERS
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (VMI)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VMI -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
WOF By 1-7 points
6.8%
WOF By 8-14 points
1.7%
VMI By 1-7 points
18.6%
VMI By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
54
WOFFORD
VMI
67
VMI
Simulated Score
Wofford
74
WOFFORD
VMI
70
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Keydets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Keydets (+9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Terriers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
VMI @ WOF
76 - 82
Feb 4, 2026
WOF @ VMI
81 - 67
Mar 9, 2025
VMI @ WOF
65 - 85
Feb 19, 2025
WOF @ VMI
82 - 43
Jan 29, 2025
VMI @ WOF
74 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+105.1% more
VMI: 6.4
vs
Wofford: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+18.5% more
VMI: 10.3
vs
Wofford: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.5%
VMI: 76.6%
vs
Wofford: 75.0%
Blocks (L5)
+32.0% more
Wofford: 2.7
vs
VMI: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
54.0
81
VMI Score
67.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 37.3
29.0 / 37.0
Assists
11.9 / 13.4
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 47.8
40.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 75.0
74.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 33.7
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.4 / 3.1
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 8.7
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
WOF
VMI
WOF
ML
53%
17-15
39%
12-19
84%
27-5
61%
19-12
ATS
50%
16-16
58%
18-13
84%
27-5
61%
19-12
TTL
62%
20-12
65%
20-11
100%
32-0
100%
31-0