TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
19-3 | Road
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
14-9 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
0%
OWLS
100%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
190.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Tulsa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TLSA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)
TLSA By 1-7 points
13.7%
TLSA By 8-14 points
24.3%
FAU By 1-7 points
4.0%
FAU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulsa
103
TULSA
Florida Atlantic
87
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
Tulsa
72
TULSA
Florida Atlantic
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Hurricane
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Hurricane (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 190.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
TLSA @ FAU
78 - 76
Feb 8, 2025
FAU @ TLSA
79 - 55
Feb 3, 2024
TLSA @ FAU
70 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
Tulsa: 52.8%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 44.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.9%
Tulsa: 79.2%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 72.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Tulsa: 40.0%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 33.3%
Blocks (L5)
+136.6% more
Florida Atlantic: 6.3
vs
Tulsa: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score
103.0
78
FAU Score
87.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 40.0
23.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.6 / 13.4
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.3 / 2.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 52.8
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 79.2
60.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 37.1
44.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.9
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 11.0
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
FAU
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
TLSA
FAU
TLSA
ML
64%
21-12
66%
25-13
66%
21-11
64%
23-13
ATS
70%
23-10
74%
28-10
66%
21-11
64%
23-13
TTL
58%
19-14
58%
22-16
100%
32-0
100%
36-0