AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
WILDCATS
100%
PIRATES
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HALL -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
HALL By 1-7 points
0.2%
HALL By 8-14 points
1.4%
VILL By 1-7 points
0.0%
VILL By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seton Hall
82
SETON HALL
Villanova
46
VILLANOVA
Simulated Score
Seton Hall
68
SETON HALL
Villanova
72
VILLANOVA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
HALL @ VILL
60 - 72
Dec 23, 2025
VILL @ HALL
64 - 56
Mar 12, 2025
HALL @ VILL
55 - 67
Feb 26, 2025
VILL @ HALL
59 - 54
Dec 17, 2024
HALL @ VILL
67 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.0% more
Seton Hall: 5.8
vs
Villanova: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+27.8% more
Seton Hall: 12.1
vs
Villanova: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+24.1% more
Seton Hall: 9.8
vs
Villanova: 7.5
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Seton Hall: 37.3
vs
Villanova: 31.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HALL Score
82.0
60
VILL Score
46.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 33.9
31.0 / 12.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.1
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.5 / 5.8
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 43.7
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 70.6
77.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 37.3
37.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.5 / 9.8
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 12.1
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
VILL
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
VILL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VILL
HALL
VILL
HALL
ML
44%
14-18
41%
13-19
72%
23-9
60%
18-12
ATS
56%
18-14
50%
16-16
72%
23-9
60%
18-12
TTL
41%
13-19
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
30-0