OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-11 | Road
78
KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
15-7 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
SOONERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UK -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UK)
OU By 1-7 points
16.9%
OU By 8-14 points
6.8%
UK By 1-7 points
26.8%
UK By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
93
OKLAHOMA
Kentucky
99
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
72
OKLAHOMA
Kentucky
78
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
OU @ UK
78 - 94
Mar 13, 2025
OU @ UK
84 - 85
Feb 26, 2025
UK @ OU
83 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+165.4% more
Kentucky: 6.4
vs
Oklahoma: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Kentucky: 36.3
vs
Oklahoma: 32.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Kentucky: 36.2%
vs
Oklahoma: 34.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.0%
Oklahoma: 75.6%
vs
Kentucky: 66.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
93.0
78
UK Score
99.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 34.6
46.0 / 34.0
Assists
11.5 / 11.8
21.0 / 14.0
Blocks
6.4 / 2.4
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 43.6
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 75.6
81.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 32.4
41.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.5 / 6.0
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 10.7
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
UK
Advantage
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
UK
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
OU
UK
OU
ML
71%
25-10
78%
28-8
72%
23-9
59%
20-14
ATS
83%
29-6
72%
26-10
72%
23-9
59%
20-14
TTL
63%
22-13
75%
27-9
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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