Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Pacers UTAH @ IND

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

15-35  |  Road

131
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

13-37  |  Home

122
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
📊
PACERS
100%
JAZZ --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Utah)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

72.6%

Pacers Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

24.3%

IND By 1-7 points

16.9%

IND By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
114
UTAH
108
INDIANA
Simulated Score
115
UTAH
122
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jazz Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pacers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jazz (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u232.5 Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim u232.5 Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 UTAH @ IND 131 - 122
Nov 11, 2025 IND @ UTAH 128 - 152
Apr 4, 2025 UTAH @ IND 112 - 140
Feb 3, 2025 IND @ UTAH 112 - 111
Jan 15, 2024 IND @ UTAH 105 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.2% more
Utah: 18.0 vs Indiana: 14.0
Steals (L5) +12.3% more
Utah: 9.2 vs Indiana: 8.0
Assists (L5) +13.1% more
Indiana: 30.8 vs Utah: 27.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.9%
Indiana: 41.8% vs Utah: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 114.0 131
IND Score 108.0 122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.8 / 30.9 36.0 / 45.0
Assists 30.8 / 27.3 33.0 / 38.0
Blocks 4.7 / 4.7 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 44.5 54.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 76.7 67.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 41.9 / 43.3 38.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.0 / 9.2 6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 18.0 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH Advantage
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
UTAH
IND
UTAH
ML
48% 47-50
60% 96-63
54% 45-38
48% 40-43
ATS
59% 57-40
68% 108-51
54% 45-38
48% 40-43
TTL
54% 52-45
75% 119-39-1
100% 83-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
kcci 18 hours, 8 minutes ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 5 hours ago
Nuggets' Bench Sparks 117-106 Preseason Win Over Jazz, Led by Di…
si 1 day, 17 hours ago
Nuggets Secure First Preseason Win Over Jazz: Braun, Gordon Impr…
gazette 1 day, 18 hours ago
Stephen A. Smith Sounds Alarm: James Dolan Could Derail Knicks' …
yahoo 2 days, 5 hours ago