Home / NBA Projections NBA / Suns @ Trail Blazers PHX @ POR

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

30-20  |  Road

130
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 11:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

23-27  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
SUNS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Portland)
SunsPHX (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Suns Cover

34.5%

Trail Blazers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

PHX By 1-7 points

20.1%

PHX By 8-14 points

9.3%

POR By 1-7 points

27.4%

POR By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
115
PHOENIX
119
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
105
PHOENIX
118
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 POR @ PHX 114 - 110
Feb 22, 2026 POR @ PHX 92 - 77
Feb 3, 2026 PHX @ POR 130 - 125
Nov 18, 2025 PHX @ POR 127 - 110
Feb 3, 2025 PHX @ POR 119 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +51.3% more
Portland: 20.1 vs Phoenix: 13.3
Blocks (L5) +19.4% more
Portland: 5.1 vs Phoenix: 4.3
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
Portland: 47.7 vs Phoenix: 40.4
Steals (L5) +21.1% more
Phoenix: 9.7 vs Portland: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHX Score 115.0 130
POR Score 119.0 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 38.7 35.0 / 49.0
Assists 22.1 / 23.5 31.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.3 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 43.7 49.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 74.8 72.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 47.7 / 40.4 47.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.7 / 9.7 8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 20.1 / 13.3 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
PHX
POR
PHX
ML
53% 56-49
57% 60-45
55% 49-40
51% 45-43
ATS
62% 65-39-1
58% 59-43-3
55% 49-40
51% 45-43
TTL
56% 58-46-1
59% 61-42-2
100% 89-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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