CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-26 | Road
115
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
18-29 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CHI By 1-7 points
21.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
10.7%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
117
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
109
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o222.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u222.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+34.7% more
Chicago: 17.5
vs
Milwaukee: 11.4
Blocks (L5)
+16.4% more
Chicago: 4.8
vs
Milwaukee: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
Chicago: 26.3
vs
Milwaukee: 23.2
Rebounding (L5)
+9.5% more
Chicago: 45.9
vs
Milwaukee: 41.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
114.0
115
MIL Score
117.0
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 34.1
61.0 / 37.0
Assists
23.2 / 26.3
33.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.8
4.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 42.7
52.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 80.2
53.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 45.9
51.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.6
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 17.5
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHI
MIL
CHI
ML
64%
61-35
56%
54-42
60%
49-32
57%
46-35
ATS
68%
65-31
65%
62-33-1
60%
49-32
57%
46-35
TTL
55%
53-43
58%
56-40
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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