OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
27-21-7 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
34-15-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 3.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
SENATORS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
6.6%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CAR By 1 goal
0.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Carolina
1
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 25, 2026
CAR @ OTT
4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026
CAR @ OTT
2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026
OTT @ CAR
2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
OTT @ CAR
0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026
CAR @ OTT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+18.8% more
Ottawa: 24.0
vs
Carolina: 19.5
Takeaways (L5)
+14.2% more
Ottawa: 6.8
vs
Carolina: 5.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.1% more
Ottawa: 13.5
vs
Carolina: 12.0
Power Play % (L5)
+3.7%
Carolina: 21.0%
vs
Ottawa: 17.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
5.0
3
CAR Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 13.5
10.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 50.1
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
19.5 / 24.0
27.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
21.0 / 17.4
50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 30.2
18.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 6.8
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
OTT
CAR
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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