Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Wizards NY @ WSH

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

31-18  |  Road

132
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

13-35  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
WIZARDS
0%
KNICKS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Washington)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

21.2%

Wizards Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

NY By 1-7 points

13.7%

NY By 8-14 points

4.8%

WSH By 1-7 points

25.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
112
NEW YORK
120
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
105
NEW YORK
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wizards Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wizards (+13) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o227.5 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim u227.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 WSH @ NY 113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026 NY @ WSH 132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025 WSH @ NY 102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025 WSH @ NY 120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025 WSH @ NY 103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +74.4% more
Washington: 5.5 vs New York: 3.2
Steals (L5) +18.0% more
Washington: 10.3 vs New York: 8.8
Turnovers (L5) +16.7% more
Washington: 16.1 vs New York: 13.8
Rebounding (L5) +8.9% more
New York: 48.5 vs Washington: 44.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 112.0 132
WSH Score 120.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 40.4 35.0 / 46.0
Assists 27.6 / 28.6 19.0 / 34.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.2 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 47.5 41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 77.6 63.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 44.2 / 48.5 42.0 / 50.0
Steals 10.3 / 8.8 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 13.8 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NY
WSH
NY
ML
70% 112-49
61% 114-72
47% 39-44
56% 57-45
ATS
69% 111-49-1
67% 124-62
47% 39-44
56% 57-45
TTL
74% 119-41-1
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 21 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 12 hours, 53 minutes ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 6 hours ago
Heat's Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo: Can Miami Make It …
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago
LeBron James Shuts Down Mike Breen's Claim About Joel Embiid's P…
yahoo 1 day, 18 hours ago