WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
13-9 | Road
63
SAN DIEGO STATE
AZTECSSDSU
15-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
AZTECS
100%
COWBOYS
--
AZTECS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WYO -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
WYO By 1-7 points
12.2%
WYO By 8-14 points
23.0%
SDSU By 1-7 points
3.3%
SDSU By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
75
WYOMING
San Diego State
58
SAN DIEGO STATE
Simulated Score
Wyoming
65
WYOMING
San Diego State
72
SAN DIEGO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aztecs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Aztecs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
WYO @ SDSU
63 - 72
Jan 14, 2026
SDSU @ WYO
74 - 57
Mar 1, 2025
SDSU @ WYO
72 - 69
Feb 1, 2025
WYO @ SDSU
61 - 63
Jan 23, 2024
WYO @ SDSU
65 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+113.7% more
San Diego State: 9.5
vs
Wyoming: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+19.8% more
San Diego State: 12.5
vs
Wyoming: 10.4
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
San Diego State: 12.4
vs
Wyoming: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
San Diego State: 47.3%
vs
Wyoming: 41.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
75.0
63
SDSU Score
58.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 32.3
17.0 / 28.0
Assists
12.5 / 10.4
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.3
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 41.3
45.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 76.6
64.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 34.6
35.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.5 / 4.5
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 11.3
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
SDSU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
SDSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
SDSU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDSU
WYO
SDSU
WYO
ML
62%
20-12
52%
17-16
72%
23-9
70%
23-10
ATS
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
70%
23-10
TTL
75%
24-8
64%
21-12
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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