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UIC

FLAMESUIC

13-10  |  Road

74
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 8:00 PM ET
CFSB Center
View Odds Details →

MURRAY STATE

RACERSMUR

16-7  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
RACERS
0%
FLAMES --
RACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-59.0
MURRAY STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +59.0 points (Murray State)
FlamesUIC (-3.5) 0 RacersMUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

0.0%

Racers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MUR -59.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MUR)

UIC By 1-7 points

0.0%

UIC By 8-14 points

0.0%

MUR By 1-7 points

0.0%

MUR By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
47
UIC
106
MURRAY STATE
Simulated Score
70
UIC
78
MURRAY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Racers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Racers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Racers (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -59.0
D
Sim Racers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 UIC @ MUR 92 - 79
Feb 3, 2026 UIC @ MUR 74 - 81
Jan 1, 2026 MUR @ UIC 81 - 77
Feb 11, 2025 UIC @ MUR 53 - 63
Jan 15, 2025 MUR @ UIC 93 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.1% more
Murray State: 4.2 vs UIC: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5) +7.4%
Murray State: 82.4% vs UIC: 75.0%
Steals (L5) +27.5% more
UIC: 8.3 vs Murray State: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
UIC: 12.5 vs Murray State: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIC Score 47.0 74
MUR Score 106.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.1 / 30.0 32.0 / 35.0
Assists 10.7 / 12.3 14.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.2 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 44.6 47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 82.4 / 75.0 73.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 36.9 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.3 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 12.5 16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
MUR Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
MUR Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
MUR
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MUR
UIC
MUR
UIC
ML
58% 19-14
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
44% 15-19
ATS
52% 17-16
54% 19-16
61% 20-13
44% 15-19
TTL
70% 23-10
60% 21-14
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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