WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
8-13 | Road
71
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
12-11 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BRONCOS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
WMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
WMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
OHIO By 1-7 points
0.0%
OHIO By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
51
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Ohio
101
OHIO
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
70
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Ohio
76
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
WMU @ OHIO
71 - 91
Feb 25, 2025
OHIO @ WMU
73 - 82
Feb 4, 2025
WMU @ OHIO
69 - 94
Mar 14, 2024
WMU @ OHIO
55 - 82
Jan 13, 2024
OHIO @ WMU
79 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+88.8% more
Ohio: 8.1
vs
Western Michigan: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Ohio: 3.2
vs
Western Michigan: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+10.9% more
Ohio: 12.3
vs
Western Michigan: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Ohio: 44.0%
vs
Western Michigan: 41.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
51.0
71
OHIO Score
101.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 32.9
41.0 / 47.0
Assists
12.3 / 11.1
18.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.7
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 41.3
52.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 74.9
82.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 35.2
39.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.1 / 4.3
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.0
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
OHIO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
WMU
OHIO
WMU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
63%
19-11
70%
21-9
ATS
68%
21-10
67%
20-10
63%
19-11
70%
21-9
TTL
61%
19-12
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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