VCU
RAMSVCU
16-6 | Road
63
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
12-10 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
RAMS
0%
RAMS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
VCU By 1-7 points
20.1%
VCU By 8-14 points
9.3%
FOR By 1-7 points
27.4%
FOR By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
VCU
91
VCU
Fordham
95
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
VCU
65
VCU
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FOR @ VCU
63 - 82
Feb 3, 2026
VCU @ FOR
63 - 59
Jan 8, 2025
FOR @ VCU
61 - 73
Mar 13, 2024
FOR @ VCU
62 - 69
Feb 6, 2024
VCU @ FOR
75 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+43.8% more
Fordham: 11.9
vs
VCU: 8.3
Rebounding (L5)
+21.2% more
Fordham: 39.9
vs
VCU: 32.9
Blocks (L5)
+18.7% more
Fordham: 3.3
vs
VCU: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
VCU: 36.3%
vs
Fordham: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VCU Score
91.0
63
FOR Score
95.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 36.3
22.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.8 / 13.6
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.8
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 46.6
35.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 77.7
79.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 32.9
30.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.6
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 8.3
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
VCU
FOR
VCU
ML
59%
19-13
72%
26-10
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
ATS
59%
19-13
81%
29-7
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
TTL
59%
19-13
58%
21-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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