AKRON
ZIPSAKR
18-4 | Road
66
EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
9-13 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
100%
EAGLES
0%
ZIPS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
AKR By 1-7 points
24.3%
AKR By 8-14 points
13.7%
EMU By 1-7 points
26.2%
EMU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
80
AKRON
Eastern Michigan
81
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Akron
72
AKRON
Eastern Michigan
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Zips (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
AKR @ EMU
66 - 64
Dec 19, 2025
EMU @ AKR
72 - 93
Jan 11, 2025
AKR @ EMU
105 - 81
Mar 5, 2024
EMU @ AKR
61 - 60
Jan 30, 2024
AKR @ EMU
77 - 46
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+72.2% more
Eastern Michigan: 5.0
vs
Akron: 2.9
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
Eastern Michigan: 13.3
vs
Akron: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Eastern Michigan: 80.4%
vs
Akron: 75.1%
Assists (L5)
+33.6% more
Akron: 17.7
vs
Eastern Michigan: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
80.0
66
EMU Score
81.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 36.3
40.0 / 29.0
Assists
11.7 / 17.7
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.0 / 2.9
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 47.4
40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
80.4 / 75.1
63.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 38.5
41.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.3 / 5.2
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 12.2
16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
AKR
EMU
AKR
ML
65%
20-11
71%
24-10
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
ATS
65%
20-11
76%
26-8
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
TTL
71%
22-9
59%
20-14
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
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