Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Minutemen CMU @ MASS

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

7-15  |  Road

89
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Mullins Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

14-9  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
📊
MINUTEMEN
0%
CHIPPEWAS --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Massachusetts)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

24.2%

Minutemen Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MASS -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

CMU By 1-7 points

15.3%

CMU By 8-14 points

5.8%

MASS By 1-7 points

26.2%

MASS By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
74
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
81
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minutemen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Minutemen (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 CMU @ MASS 89 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.3%
Massachusetts: 70.9% vs Central Michigan: 61.7%
Blocks (L5) +71.8% more
Central Michigan: 4.8 vs Massachusetts: 1.4
Rebounding (L5) +9.0% more
Central Michigan: 36.6 vs Massachusetts: 33.3
Turnovers (L5) +8.5% more
Central Michigan: 11.6 vs Massachusetts: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 74.0 89
MASS Score 81.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.2 / 30.8 44.0 / 68.0
Assists 16.0 / 15.2 25.0 / 23.0
Blocks 1.4 / 4.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 45.5 57.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 61.7 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 36.6 26.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.3 / 6.0 12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.6 9.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
MASS Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
CMU
MASS
CMU
ML
44% 14-18
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
ATS
47% 15-17
67% 20-10
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
TTL
56% 18-14
67% 20-10
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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