Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Wildcats SLU @ DAV

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

21-1  |  Road

91
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 9:00 PM ET
John M. Belk Arena
View Odds Details →

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

13-8  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
BILLIKENS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsDAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

38.2%

Wildcats Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAV +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)

SLU By 1-7 points

27.2%

SLU By 8-14 points

20.1%

DAV By 1-7 points

21.6%

DAV By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
91
SAINT LOUIS
88
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
71
SAINT LOUIS
76
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 SLU @ DAV 91 - 82
Mar 13, 2025 DAV @ SLU 75 - 83
Feb 25, 2025 SLU @ DAV 57 - 56
Jan 24, 2024 DAV @ SLU 84 - 61
Feb 15, 2023 DAV @ SLU 65 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.2% more
Saint Louis: 20.6 vs Davidson: 13.4
Turnovers (L5) +18.9% more
Saint Louis: 12.4 vs Davidson: 10.0
Rebounding (L5) +13.3% more
Saint Louis: 37.0 vs Davidson: 32.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
Saint Louis: 49.6% vs Davidson: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 91.0 91
DAV Score 88.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 49.6 34.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.4 / 20.6 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.0 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 54.3 44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 58.4 / 60.1 76.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 37.0 30.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.4 / 8.3 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 12.4 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
DAV
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
SLU
DAV
SLU
ML
64% 21-12
70% 23-10
58% 19-14
68% 21-10
ATS
48% 16-17
73% 24-9
58% 19-14
68% 21-10
TTL
52% 17-16
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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