ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
16-5 | Road
68
DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
12-10 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
RED STORM
100%
BLUE DEMONS
0%
RED STORM
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (DePaul)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
SJU By 1-7 points
15.3%
SJU By 8-14 points
5.8%
DEP By 1-7 points
26.2%
DEP By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
St. John's
55
ST. JOHN'S
DePaul
62
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
St. John's
82
ST. JOHN'S
DePaul
70
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Demons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Demons (+9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
SJU @ DEP
68 - 56
Dec 16, 2025
DEP @ SJU
66 - 79
Feb 19, 2025
SJU @ DEP
82 - 58
Dec 17, 2024
DEP @ SJU
61 - 89
Mar 5, 2024
SJU @ DEP
104 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+36.5% more
DePaul: 11.6
vs
St. John's: 8.5
Steals (L5)
+9.3% more
DePaul: 6.7
vs
St. John's: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+38.5% more
St. John's: 4.9
vs
DePaul: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+32.1%
St. John's: 73.1%
vs
DePaul: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJU Score
55.0
68
DEP Score
62.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 36.6
25.0 / 30.0
Assists
15.2 / 16.3
8.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.9
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 49.4
35.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
41.0 / 73.1
75.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 39.0
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.1
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 8.5
15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
DEP
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
SJU
DEP
SJU
ML
59%
19-13
62%
18-11
80%
24-6
62%
18-11
ATS
50%
16-16
66%
19-10
80%
24-6
62%
18-11
TTL
53%
17-15
59%
17-12
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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