Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Longhorns SC @ TEX

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

11-11  |  Road

75
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Moody Center
View Odds Details →

TEXAS

LONGHORNSTEX

13-9  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
📊
LONGHORNS
100%
GAMECOCKS --
LONGHORNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GamecocksSC (-3.5) 0 LonghornsTEX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

38.2%

Longhorns Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEX +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

SC By 1-7 points

27.2%

SC By 8-14 points

20.1%

TEX By 1-7 points

21.6%

TEX By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
86
SOUTH CAROLINA
83
TEXAS
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA
75
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Longhorns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Longhorns (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Longhorns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 SC @ TEX 75 - 84
Feb 22, 2025 TEX @ SC 69 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +9.9% more
South Carolina: 6.9 vs Texas: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5) +3.4%
South Carolina: 80.4% vs Texas: 77.0%
Turnovers (L5) +26.9% more
Texas: 11.8 vs South Carolina: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +24.2% more
Texas: 2.7 vs South Carolina: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 86.0 75
TEX Score 83.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 32.0 37.0 / 18.0
Assists 13.2 / 11.1 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.2 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 53.9 / 38.7 43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 80.4 81.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 31.5 40.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.9 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 9.3 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
TEX Advantage
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
TEX Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
SC
TEX
SC
ML
58% 21-15
72% 23-9
56% 19-15
68% 21-10
ATS
56% 20-16
69% 22-10
56% 19-15
68% 21-10
TTL
64% 23-13
50% 16-16
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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