Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rebels @ Volunteers MISS @ TENN

OLE MISS

REBELSMISS

11-10  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Food City Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

15-6  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
0%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
100%
REBELS --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Ole Miss)
RebelsMISS (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rebels Cover

93.3%

Volunteers Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MISS -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)

MISS By 1-7 points

15.3%

MISS By 8-14 points

25.3%

TENN By 1-7 points

4.8%

TENN By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
83
OLE MISS
68
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
68
OLE MISS
75
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rebels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rebels (-13.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 MISS @ TENN 66 - 84
Mar 5, 2025 TENN @ MISS 76 - 78
Jan 6, 2024 MISS @ TENN 64 - 90
Mar 9, 2023 MISS @ TENN 55 - 70
Dec 28, 2022 TENN @ MISS 63 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Ole Miss: 76.3% vs Tennessee: 70.5%
Assists (L5) +70.7% more
Tennessee: 15.5 vs Ole Miss: 9.1
Turnovers (L5) +48.1% more
Tennessee: 13.5 vs Ole Miss: 9.1
Rebounding (L5) +27.9% more
Tennessee: 45.4 vs Ole Miss: 35.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MISS Score 83.0 66
TENN Score 68.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 30.4 38.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.5 / 9.1 17.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.5 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 39.8 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 76.3 68.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 45.4 / 35.5 40.0 / 23.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.3 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 9.1 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISS
--
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISS
--
TENN Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MISS
--
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
MISS
TENN
MISS
ML
46% 17-20
48% 16-17
64% 21-12
52% 17-16
ATS
54% 20-17
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
52% 17-16
TTL
76% 28-9
64% 21-12
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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