Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Musketeers @ Huskies XAV @ CONN

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

12-10  |  Road

60
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
PeoplesBank Arena
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

21-1  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
MUSKETEERS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
MUSKETEERS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (UConn)
MusketeersXAV (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Musketeers Cover

0.3%

Huskies Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

XAV By 1-7 points

0.2%

XAV By 8-14 points

0.0%

CONN By 1-7 points

1.7%

CONN By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
51
XAVIER
79
UCONN
Simulated Score
70
XAVIER
78
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (-16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 XAV @ CONN 68 - 93
Feb 3, 2026 XAV @ CONN 60 - 92
Dec 31, 2025 CONN @ XAV 90 - 67
Jan 25, 2025 CONN @ XAV 72 - 76
Dec 18, 2024 XAV @ CONN 89 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.1% more
UConn: 37.2 vs Xavier: 31.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
UConn: 41.3% vs Xavier: 36.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +20.3%
Xavier: 81.6% vs UConn: 61.3%
Turnovers (L5) +19.9% more
Xavier: 12.0 vs UConn: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
XAV Score 51.0 60
CONN Score 79.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.3 / 36.4 37.0 / 35.0
Assists 17.5 / 16.5 26.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.5 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 47.1 57.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 61.3 / 81.6 78.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 31.5 41.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.7 / 6.8 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 12.0 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
XAV Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
XAV
CONN
XAV
ML
76% 29-9
58% 19-14
66% 23-12
72% 23-9
ATS
74% 28-10
73% 24-9
66% 23-12
72% 23-9
TTL
50% 19-19
39% 13-20
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 19 hours, 37 minutes ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
courant 1 day, 6 hours ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 13 hours ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago