MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
22-0 | Road
73
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
14-8 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
BULLS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
M-OH By 1-7 points
24.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
13.7%
BUF By 1-7 points
26.2%
BUF By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
86
MIAMI (OH)
Buffalo
87
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
70
MIAMI (OH)
Buffalo
75
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o165.5
Loss
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
M-OH @ BUF
73 - 71
Jan 17, 2026
BUF @ M-OH
102 - 105
Mar 4, 2025
M-OH @ BUF
84 - 69
Jan 4, 2025
BUF @ M-OH
79 - 93
Jan 9, 2024
M-OH @ BUF
86 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.5% more
Buffalo: 11.6
vs
Miami (OH): 9.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Buffalo: 42.0%
vs
Miami (OH): 32.8%
Blocks (L5)
+39.6% more
Miami (OH): 3.7
vs
Buffalo: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+35.9% more
Miami (OH): 8.4
vs
Buffalo: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
86.0
73
BUF Score
87.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.0 / 32.8
32.0 / 27.0
Assists
15.9 / 16.0
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 51.0
42.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 75.7
78.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
31.0 / 34.7
36.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.4 / 8.4
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 9.2
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
BUF
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
M-OH
BUF
M-OH
ML
45%
14-17
45%
15-18
45%
14-17
41%
13-19
ATS
55%
17-14
61%
20-13
45%
14-17
41%
13-19
TTL
48%
15-16
61%
20-13
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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