Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Blue Devils BC @ DUKE

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

9-12  |  Road

49
FINAL
Tue, Feb 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

20-1  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
EAGLES --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Duke)
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

21.2%

Blue Devils Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

BC By 1-7 points

13.7%

BC By 8-14 points

4.8%

DUKE By 1-7 points

25.3%

DUKE By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
83
BOSTON COLLEGE
91
DUKE
Simulated Score
67
BOSTON COLLEGE
80
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (+26.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 BC @ DUKE 49 - 67
Jan 18, 2025 DUKE @ BC 88 - 63
Feb 10, 2024 BC @ DUKE 65 - 80
Jan 7, 2023 DUKE @ BC 65 - 64
Dec 3, 2022 BC @ DUKE 59 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +76.7% more
Duke: 8.0 vs Boston College: 4.5
Assists (L5) +22.7% more
Duke: 15.2 vs Boston College: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5) +12.3%
Duke: 72.6% vs Boston College: 60.3%
Rebounding (L5) +12.0% more
Duke: 38.5 vs Boston College: 34.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 83.0 49
DUKE Score 91.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 29.2 28.0 / 25.0
Assists 15.2 / 12.4 15.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.0 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.4 / 43.3 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.6 / 60.3 70.0 / 44.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 34.4 35.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.0 / 4.5 10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 10.0 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
BC
DUKE
BC
ML
71% 27-11
61% 19-12
73% 24-9
61% 17-11
ATS
79% 30-8
73% 22-8-1
73% 24-9
61% 17-11
TTL
47% 18-20
61% 19-12
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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