FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
8-11 | Road
66
ALABAMA STATE
HORNETSALST
6-15 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
0%
HORNETS
100%
RATTLERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
FLORIDA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Florida A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FAMU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAMU)
FAMU By 1-7 points
2.7%
FAMU By 8-14 points
9.3%
ALST By 1-7 points
0.4%
ALST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
85
FLORIDA A&M
Alabama State
59
ALABAMA STATE
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
65
FLORIDA A&M
Alabama State
70
ALABAMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rattlers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rattlers (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
ALST @ FAMU
63 - 76
Feb 2, 2026
FAMU @ ALST
66 - 79
Feb 22, 2025
FAMU @ ALST
59 - 60
Feb 3, 2025
ALST @ FAMU
67 - 66
Feb 24, 2024
ALST @ FAMU
65 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.0% more
Florida A&M: 12.4
vs
Alabama State: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Florida A&M: 34.4
vs
Alabama State: 30.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Florida A&M: 36.0%
vs
Alabama State: 27.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Florida A&M: 43.4%
vs
Alabama State: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
85.0
66
ALST Score
59.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 36.0
44.0 / 30.0
Assists
10.0 / 12.4
18.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 43.4
47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 68.2
75.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 34.4
37.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.2
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 14.1
17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
ALST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
ALST
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
ALST
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALST
FAMU
ALST
FAMU
ML
65%
20-11
55%
16-13
76%
19-6
71%
17-7
ATS
65%
20-11
48%
14-15
76%
19-6
71%
17-7
TTL
52%
16-15
76%
22-7
100%
25-0
100%
24-0
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