Home / NHL Projections NHL / Islanders @ Capitals NYI @ WSH

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

30-20-5  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, Feb 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

27-22-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
@
Rasmus Sandin
GOALTENDER

Rasmus Sandin

#38 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
Rasmus Sandin None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
CAPITALS
0%
ISLANDERS --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

30.9%

Capitals Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

WSH By 1 goal

19.7%

WSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
4
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Capitals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Capitals Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Capitals (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Capitals (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 2, 2026 NYI @ WSH 1 - 4
Nov 30, 2025 WSH @ NYI 4 - 1
Oct 31, 2025 NYI @ WSH 3 - 1
Oct 11, 2025 WSH @ NYI 4 - 2
Apr 15, 2025 WSH @ NYI 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.1% more
Washington: 15.7 vs New York: 13.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.3% more
Washington: 31.0 vs New York: 27.6
Takeaways (L5) +17.6% more
New York: 4.0 vs Washington: 3.3
Power Play % (L5) +2.6%
New York: 12.2% vs Washington: 9.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 3.0 1
WSH Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.7 / 13.1 23.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 51.7 / 53.1 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 20.7 / 19.6 27.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 953.0 / 1217.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 31.0 / 27.6 24.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 3.3 / 4.0 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
42%MONEY58%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NYI
WSH
NYI
ML
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 58 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 58 minutes ago
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
headtopics 13 hours, 26 minutes ago
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
local10 19 hours, 7 minutes ago
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 19 hours, 23 minutes ago