Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Bulldogs BCU @ AAMU

BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

10-11  |  Road

80
FINAL
Mon, Feb 2 • 8:00 PM ET
Event Center
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ALABAMA A&M

BULLDOGSAAMU

12-9  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
WILDCATS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Bethune-Cookman)
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsAAMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BCU -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCU)

BCU By 1-7 points

0.4%

BCU By 8-14 points

2.2%

AAMU By 1-7 points

0.0%

AAMU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
97
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
63
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
75
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
78
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 AAMU @ BCU 76 - 85
Feb 2, 2026 BCU @ AAMU 80 - 62
Feb 22, 2025 BCU @ AAMU 68 - 64
Feb 3, 2025 AAMU @ BCU 75 - 89
Feb 24, 2024 AAMU @ BCU 61 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.6% more
Bethune-Cookman: 15.6 vs Alabama A&M: 11.5
Blocks (L5) +19.2% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.2 vs Alabama A&M: 4.2
Rebounding (L5) +18.1% more
Bethune-Cookman: 40.2 vs Alabama A&M: 32.9
Assists (L5) +15.6% more
Bethune-Cookman: 14.1 vs Alabama A&M: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 97.0 80
AAMU Score 63.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 31.4 20.0 / 41.0
Assists 11.9 / 14.1 6.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.2 / 5.2 1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 50.0 33.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 82.9 / 69.7 75.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 40.2 40.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.1 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 15.6 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
AAMU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
AAMU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
BCU
AAMU
BCU
ML
55% 16-13
68% 21-10
67% 16-8
79% 22-6
ATS
55% 16-13
65% 20-11
67% 16-8
79% 22-6
TTL
66% 19-10
48% 15-16
100% 24-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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