Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Eagles HOW @ COPP

HOWARD

BISONHOW

13-9  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Feb 2 • 6:00 PM ET
Physical Education Complex
View Odds Details →

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

3-20  |  Home

53
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
BISON --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Howard)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 EaglesCOPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

99.2%

Eagles Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOW -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

HOW By 1-7 points

4.0%

HOW By 8-14 points

12.2%

COPP By 1-7 points

0.6%

COPP By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
82
HOWARD
58
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
75
HOWARD
68
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Bison (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 COPP @ HOW 70 - 90
Feb 2, 2026 HOW @ COPP 72 - 53
Feb 24, 2025 HOW @ COPP 61 - 72
Jan 13, 2025 COPP @ HOW 75 - 90
Feb 26, 2024 COPP @ HOW 69 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +77.2% more
Howard: 3.8 vs Coppin State: 0.9
Assists (L5) +22.5% more
Howard: 15.0 vs Coppin State: 11.6
Rebounding (L5) +22.0% more
Howard: 42.3 vs Coppin State: 33.0
Free Throw % (L5) +15.0%
Howard: 78.4% vs Coppin State: 63.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 82.0 72
COPP Score 58.0 53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 32.9 13.0 / 32.0
Assists 11.6 / 15.0 9.0 / 20.0
Blocks 0.9 / 3.8 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 45.3 36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 63.4 / 78.4 61.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 42.3 33.0 / 35.0
Steals 8.8 / 7.8 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 16.2 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
HOW
COPP
HOW
ML
65% 20-11
59% 20-14
79% 19-5
71% 22-9
ATS
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
79% 19-5
71% 22-9
TTL
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
100% 24-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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