Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bengals @ Vikings IDST @ PRST

IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

10-12  |  Road

65
FINAL
Mon, Feb 2 • 10:00 PM ET
Viking Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

14-6  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
0%
📊
VIKINGS
100%
BENGALS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
IDAHO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Idaho State)
BengalsIDST (-3.5) 0 VikingsPRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

98.2%

Vikings Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDST -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDST)

IDST By 1-7 points

6.8%

IDST By 8-14 points

16.9%

PRST By 1-7 points

1.4%

PRST By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
98
IDAHO STATE
77
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
69
IDAHO STATE
78
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bengals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bengals (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 IDST @ PRST 78 - 85
Feb 2, 2026 IDST @ PRST 65 - 88
Jan 3, 2026 PRST @ IDST 93 - 87
Feb 20, 2025 PRST @ IDST 74 - 82
Jan 25, 2025 IDST @ PRST 59 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
Idaho State: 74.7% vs Portland State: 70.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Idaho State: 34.2% vs Portland State: 31.3%
Steals (L5) +68.3% more
Portland State: 9.0 vs Idaho State: 5.3
Assists (L5) +34.1% more
Portland State: 15.8 vs Idaho State: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDST Score 98.0 65
PRST Score 77.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 34.2 47.0 / 31.0
Assists 15.8 / 11.8 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.5 2.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 45.5 56.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 74.7 79.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 31.1 25.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.0 / 5.3 11.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 10.8 4.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
IDST
PRST
IDST
ML
65% 20-11
59% 19-13
71% 22-9
72% 23-9
ATS
71% 22-9
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
72% 23-9
TTL
47% 14-16-1
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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