SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
6-16 | Road
54
LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
11-11 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
CARDINALS
100%
LIONS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SELA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
SELA By 1-7 points
13.7%
SELA By 8-14 points
24.3%
LAM By 1-7 points
4.0%
LAM By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
SE Louisiana
88
SE LOUISIANA
Lamar
72
LAMAR
Simulated Score
SE Louisiana
69
SE LOUISIANA
Lamar
73
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 2, 2026
SELA @ LAM
54 - 73
Jan 5, 2026
LAM @ SELA
52 - 60
Feb 3, 2025
LAM @ SELA
79 - 81
Feb 19, 2024
LAM @ SELA
77 - 72
Jan 27, 2024
SELA @ LAM
64 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.8% more
SE Louisiana: 14.7
vs
Lamar: 11.7
Assists (L5)
+101.4% more
Lamar: 16.7
vs
SE Louisiana: 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+77.7% more
Lamar: 4.9
vs
SE Louisiana: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+34.4% more
Lamar: 40.8
vs
SE Louisiana: 30.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SELA Score
88.0
54
LAM Score
72.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 30.7
35.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.7 / 8.3
20.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.9 / 2.7
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 40.4
46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 73.6
50.0 / 25.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 30.4
42.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.9 / 5.2
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 14.7
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
SELA
LAM
SELA
ML
55%
16-13
70%
21-9
59%
17-12
66%
19-10
ATS
52%
15-14
60%
18-12
60%
18-12
67%
20-10
TTL
72%
21-8
70%
21-9
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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