Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Vaqueros HCU @ RGV

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

8-14  |  Road

57
FINAL
Mon, Feb 2 • 7:30 PM ET
UTRGV Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY

VAQUEROSRGV

11-11  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
VAQUEROS
0%
HUSKIES --
VAQUEROS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (UT Rio Grande Valley)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 VaquerosRGV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

6.7%

Vaqueros Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RGV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RGV)

HCU By 1-7 points

4.8%

HCU By 8-14 points

1.1%

RGV By 1-7 points

15.3%

RGV By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
59
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
74
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Simulated Score
68
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
82
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vaqueros Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vaqueros Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vaqueros (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Vaqueros (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 2, 2026 HCU @ RGV 57 - 74
Jan 24, 2026 RGV @ HCU 68 - 51
Feb 15, 2025 HCU @ RGV 52 - 76
Jan 18, 2025 RGV @ HCU 57 - 66
Dec 18, 2022 HCU @ RGV 90 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +20.1% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 16.1 vs Houston Christian: 13.4
Steals (L5) +12.5% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 7.0 vs Houston Christian: 6.2
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
UT Rio Grande Valley: 51.3% vs Houston Christian: 45.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.8%
UT Rio Grande Valley: 81.0% vs Houston Christian: 76.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 59.0 57
RGV Score 74.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 41.5 38.0 / 28.0
Assists 16.1 / 13.4 22.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.2 5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 45.7 44.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 81.0 / 76.2 94.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 30.5 44.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.2 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 13.6 14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
RGV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
RGV Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RGV
HCU
RGV
HCU
ML
53% 16-14
68% 21-10
54% 15-13
81% 25-6
ATS
53% 16-14
58% 18-13
54% 15-13
81% 26-6
TTL
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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