MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
31-17-7 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
32-14-10 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 3.82 | 0.833 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.83 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.82
GAA
Ldr 2.83
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
WILD
0%
CANADIENS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 2, 2026
MTL @ MIN
3 - 4
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ MTL
3 - 4
Jan 30, 2025
MIN @ MTL
4 - 0
Nov 14, 2024
MTL @ MIN
0 - 3
Dec 21, 2023
MTL @ MIN
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+11.4%
Minnesota: 43.6%
vs
Montreal: 32.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+35.1% more
Montreal: 5.2
vs
Minnesota: 3.3
Hits (L5)
+32.2% more
Montreal: 24.6
vs
Minnesota: 16.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.9%
Montreal: 58.3%
vs
Minnesota: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
3.0
3
MIN Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 18.4
15.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
46.4 / 58.3
46.6 / 53.4
Hits
16.6 / 24.6
18.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
43.6 / 32.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 28.7
24.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 5.2
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
MTL
MIN
MTL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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