WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
22-25-7 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
32-14-9 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.92 | 0.857 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.90 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.92
GAA
Ldr 2.90
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
STARS
0%
JETS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026
WPG @ DAL
3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025
DAL @ WPG
5 - 4
May 17, 2025
WPG @ DAL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+41.4% more
Dallas: 5.1
vs
Winnipeg: 3.6
Power Play % (L5)
+30.5%
Dallas: 34.6%
vs
Winnipeg: 4.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.1% more
Dallas: 27.6
vs
Winnipeg: 23.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.4% more
Dallas: 16.2
vs
Winnipeg: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
2.0
3
DAL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 14.8
19.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 51.9
58.0 / 42.0
Hits
20.7 / 22.3
24.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
34.6 / 4.1
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 23.0
28.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 3.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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