ORLANDO
MAGICORL
25-22 | Road
103
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
32-16 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
SPURS
0%
MAGIC
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
ORL By 1-7 points
15.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
5.8%
SA By 1-7 points
26.2%
SA By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
117
ORLANDO
San Antonio
124
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
San Antonio
110
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.0
Loss
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
ORL @ SA
103 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
SA @ ORL
114 - 112
Apr 1, 2025
ORL @ SA
116 - 105
Feb 8, 2025
SA @ ORL
111 - 112
Oct 9, 2024
ORL @ SA
97 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.5% more
San Antonio: 6.8
vs
Orlando: 4.5
Steals (L5)
+32.0% more
Orlando: 8.7
vs
San Antonio: 5.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Orlando: 39.8%
vs
San Antonio: 32.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
Orlando: 82.6%
vs
San Antonio: 78.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
117.0
103
SA Score
124.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 39.8
28.0 / 33.0
Assists
26.5 / 27.9
27.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.8 / 4.5
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 46.8
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 82.6
69.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 38.9
48.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.7
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 11.8
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
ORL
SA
ORL
ML
60%
111-73
61%
65-42
58%
61-44
56%
51-40
ATS
58%
107-76-1
64%
68-38-1
58%
61-44
56%
51-40
TTL
74%
134-47-3
57%
61-46
100%
105-0
100%
91-0
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