Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Raptors UTAH @ TOR

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

15-34  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 6:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

29-21  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
📊
RAPTORS
100%
JAZZ --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

34.5%

Raptors Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

UTAH By 1-7 points

27.4%

UTAH By 8-14 points

21.6%

TOR By 1-7 points

20.1%

TOR By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
115
UTAH
111
TORONTO
Simulated Score
108
UTAH
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raptors (+10) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 23, 2026 TOR @ UTAH 143 - 127
Feb 1, 2026 UTAH @ TOR 100 - 107
Mar 14, 2025 TOR @ UTAH 126 - 118
Mar 7, 2025 UTAH @ TOR 109 - 118
Jan 12, 2024 TOR @ UTAH 113 - 145
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Utah: 35.4% vs Toronto: 30.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Utah: 48.7% vs Toronto: 46.9%
Blocks (L5) +57.0% more
Toronto: 6.3 vs Utah: 4.0
Rebounding (L5) +15.5% more
Toronto: 42.7 vs Utah: 37.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 115.0 100
TOR Score 111.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 35.4 34.0 / 22.0
Assists 28.8 / 30.9 22.0 / 20.0
Blocks 6.3 / 4.0 8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 48.7 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 78.2 / 74.1 83.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 42.7 / 37.0 42.0 / 56.0
Steals 8.4 / 8.7 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 15.0 19.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
UTAH
TOR
UTAH
ML
55% 57-47
60% 96-63
55% 48-39
48% 40-43
ATS
61% 62-40-2
68% 108-51
55% 48-39
48% 40-43
TTL
60% 62-42
75% 119-39-1
100% 87-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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