Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Trail Blazers CLE @ POR

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

29-21  |  Road

130
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 9:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

23-26  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CAVALIERS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
252.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

88.5%

Trail Blazers Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

20.1%

CLE By 8-14 points

27.2%

POR By 1-7 points

8.0%

POR By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
132
CLEVELAND
120
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
102
CLEVELAND
115
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o229.5 Win
Proj Total: 252.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 CLE @ POR 130 - 111
Dec 3, 2025 POR @ CLE 122 - 110
Mar 25, 2025 CLE @ POR 122 - 111
Mar 2, 2025 POR @ CLE 129 - 133
Nov 30, 2023 POR @ CLE 103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +28.6% more
Cleveland: 29.6 vs Portland: 21.1
Steals (L5) +22.7% more
Cleveland: 10.3 vs Portland: 8.0
Field Goal % (L5) +6.5%
Cleveland: 49.1% vs Portland: 42.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.1%
Cleveland: 75.4% vs Portland: 70.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 132.0 130
POR Score 120.0 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 36.4 32.0 / 47.0
Assists 21.1 / 29.6 24.0 / 41.0
Blocks 5.2 / 3.6 5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 49.1 45.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 75.4 75.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 48.1 / 44.8 47.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.0 / 10.3 7.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 18.6 / 16.5 23.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
CLE
POR
CLE
ML
53% 56-49
60% 69-46
55% 49-40
56% 55-44
ATS
62% 65-39-1
67% 75-37-3
55% 49-40
56% 55-44
TTL
56% 58-46-1
59% 68-47
100% 89-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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