Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Knicks LAL @ NY

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

29-18  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sun, Feb 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

30-18  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
LAKERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (New York)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

30.9%

Knicks Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

LAL By 1-7 points

18.6%

LAL By 8-14 points

8.0%

NY By 1-7 points

27.2%

NY By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
108
LOS ANGELES
113
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
107
LOS ANGELES
121
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 NY @ LAL 97 - 110
Feb 1, 2026 LAL @ NY 100 - 112
Mar 6, 2025 NY @ LAL 109 - 113
Feb 1, 2025 LAL @ NY 128 - 112
Feb 3, 2024 LAL @ NY 113 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +17.9% more
New York: 49.7 vs Los Angeles: 42.2
Turnovers (L5) +8.2% more
New York: 15.6 vs Los Angeles: 14.4
Free Throw % (L5) +7.1%
New York: 79.9% vs Los Angeles: 72.8%
Blocks (L5) +12.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.3 vs New York: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 108.0 100
NY Score 113.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.1 / 38.8 43.0 / 29.0
Assists 27.9 / 28.6 30.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 53.1 47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 72.8 73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 49.7 / 42.2 46.0 / 36.0
Steals 9.6 / 10.6 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 14.4 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
LAL
NY
LAL
ML
61% 114-72
61% 68-43
56% 57-45
54% 49-42
ATS
67% 124-62
61% 67-43-1
56% 57-45
54% 49-42
TTL
72% 133-53
61% 66-43-2
100% 102-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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