MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
14-7 | Road
58
NIAGARA
PURPLE EAGLESNIA
5-16 | Home
46
AI Model Win Probability
RED FOXES
100%
PURPLE EAGLES
0%
RED FOXES
--
PURPLE EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
NIAGARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Niagara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIA -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIA)
MRST By 1-7 points
9.3%
MRST By 8-14 points
2.7%
NIA By 1-7 points
21.6%
NIA By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Marist
79
MARIST
Niagara
90
NIAGARA
Simulated Score
Marist
68
MARIST
Niagara
72
NIAGARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Purple Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
MRST @ NIA
58 - 46
Feb 23, 2025
NIA @ MRST
61 - 64
Jan 23, 2025
MRST @ NIA
67 - 65
Mar 14, 2024
NIA @ MRST
59 - 65
Mar 9, 2024
NIA @ MRST
62 - 63
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.7%
Niagara: 41.6%
vs
Marist: 30.8%
Assists (L5)
+10.5% more
Niagara: 16.9
vs
Marist: 15.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+25.3%
Marist: 80.2%
vs
Niagara: 54.9%
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
Marist: 2.8
vs
Niagara: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MRST Score
79.0
58
NIA Score
90.0
46
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 30.8
39.0 / 25.0
Assists
16.9 / 15.3
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.8
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 48.9
29.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
54.9 / 80.2
64.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
29.0 / 32.7
39.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.5
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.6
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
NIA
8-22-0
(26.7%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
NIA
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIA
MRST
NIA
MRST
ML
55%
16-13
55%
17-14
72%
21-8
61%
19-12
ATS
69%
20-9
74%
23-8
72%
21-8
61%
19-12
TTL
55%
16-13
52%
16-15
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
Ashton Daniels Erupts for Five Rushing Scores as Florida State C…
Florida State Crushes Virginia 38-7 as Ashton Daniels Sets Recor…
WVU Lands Major Eligibility Boost: Lorient and Buchanan Cleared …